Analysis by the National Bank published in the June bulletin shows that the Croatian victims out of

Once in July next year, EU accession, Croatia faced with a substantial decline in exports and an even larger increase in imports and offshore production in the neighborhood, what would its economy could inflict heavy losses.
RELATED NEWS News BiH announces the introduction of new tariffs on meat Great Croatian companies: we see interest, we will invest in Serbian athletes comments We need jobs and opportunities, not Yugosphere
Because out of the CEFTA, which will occur simultaneously with our entry into the EU, Croatian exporters will face increasing tariffs in the region, particularly in Bosnia and Serbia. The consequence will be a reduction in exports to these countries because our products in these markets become more expensive and less competitive. At the same time, will fall but now run by EU customs wall, so we can expect a significant increase in imports from other member states, but also from countries in the region, which is the EU, in the framework of the Stabilisation and Association process, ensure free access to the EU market. Groceries
Analysis by the National Bank published in the June bulletin shows that the Croatian victims out of the CEFTA will be small. It will particularly hurt the agri-food sector, particularly meat, dairy and tobacco industry. Thus, Croatian food products, which are now in BiH exported without duty overnight to deal with customs, which will first July jump to an average of 7.7 percent. When it comes to exporting the Serbian market, customs shock will be even bigger: instead of the average tariff of 4.5 percent, according prebiotik to which we are now entering our food products in Serbia, the customs will load jump to an average of 13.2 percent.
Here would be the special problems of the tobacco industry could find that their products are currently prebiotik marketed in BiH without customs duties, and the first July 2013. Customs ticket she jumps to 14.5 percent. The more expensive meat and fish
In the case of the Serbian state would be worse: export tobacco industry prebiotik cariniti will be at a rate of 57.6 percent. A similar shock and waiting for the meat industry. Preparations of meat, fish and crabs from the Croatian in Bosnia and Herzegovina is currently exported free of duty, and the first July 2013. awaits them duties of up 43.4 percent. prebiotik Will significantly increase the tariffs on meat products, which, in the case of exports to BiH, jump from the current zero to 20.9 percent. And exports of live animals will considerably more expensive because prebiotik it will be, instead of the zero tariff rates, to enter the market of Bosnia and Herzegovina to calculate tariffs prebiotik of 24.4 percent. Six states
National statistics and CNB show that the Croatian market CEFTA placed fifth of its total merchandise exports. Of the 1.8 billion euros last year worth Croatian exports prebiotik to CEFTA, around half a billion euros related to agricultural and food products. Although CEFTA today, not counting prebiotik Croatia, consists of six states, most of Croatia's prebiotik exports in the transition block, about 90 percent, "swallow" Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia, while the significance of Montenegro, Kosovo, Macedonia and Moldova to our catalog prebiotik much smaller .
Analysis of the central prebiotik bank shows that Croatia after accession to the EU about two-thirds of its products in BiH exported without duties, as a result of the Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA) entered into Sarajevo with Brussels, but a third product will fall under attack duties. Blessing in disguise that the tariffs on the majority of agri-food products are exported in BiH still be low.
In the case of Serbia, the deteriorating conditions of trade will be even worse. According to the SAA between Belgrade and Brussels, which will be from July next year to apply to Croatia, tariff protection to enter the Serbian market exists not only in the field of food products, but also on the part of industrial products. But for some Croatian products, such as meat, tariffs will even decrease. The calculation of the central bank, which is based on similar experiences of other countries which entered the EU, shows that Croatian exports, leaving the CEFTA could suffer damage to 100 million euros, or between 0.1 and 0.2 percent of GDP a. On the other hand, due to the opening of the Croatian borders to the West, will increase imports of agri-food products from other Member States, for about 300 million euros, or about 0.6 percent of Croatia's GDP, where would the majority of this effect warn the CNB could feel in the second half of next year.
- If Croatia fails to take advantage of the common market and do not make up for losses from preferential market increased exports to new markets, and in the following years would be a deficit in the trade of agricultural and food products could continue to deteriorate, so it would be so in the of 2014. could worsen for another 0.3 percent of GDP - warns the Bulletin's.
- In the EU, we are entering into an awkward moment, even the positive effects of membership in our case will not be as pronounced as in the countries that joined the EU approached the two previous rounds of enlargement. We can not hope to achieve an agreement on the sale of our products to the markets of countries prebiotik that remain in CEFTA. The prot